Geli?mekte Olan Ülkelerde Kredi Temerrüt Takas? (CDS) Primlerinin Belirleyicileri: Türkiye'den Kan?tlar

نویسندگان

چکیده

Turkey faces increasing CDS (Credit Default Swap) spreads. The level of spreads shows the riskiness a country in terms credit default and countries can’t attract high foreign investment inflows when are high. In this context, need to identify influential factors order decrease study, ten independent variables classified global, macro, market analyzed using monthly data between January 2004 December 2019 with autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), fully modified least square (FMOLS), dynamic ordinary (DOLS), Markov Switching Regression (MSR) after applying principal component analysis (PCA). results show that (i) has greater effect than other components for all models, which indicates it is most important variable Turkey’s spreads; (ii) global positive statistically significant ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS models; (iii) macro negative models.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Hacettepe Üniversitesi ?ktisadi ve ?dari Bilimler Fakültesi dergisi

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1301-8752', '1309-6338']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17065/huniibf.1054042